Seeraar ayaa googo'an ka hor kulanka FOMC!JPMorgan: Kaydka Maraykanka ayaa laga yaabaa inuu aad u kaco haddii heerka ribada uu kor u kaco 50 dhibcood

Habeenkii shirkii FOMC,cryptocurrencysuuqa oo maalma ka hor sare u kacayay ayaa isu bedelay mid aan deganayn.Ka dib markii uu kor u kacay $21,085 29-kii,Bitcoin (BTC)ayaa hoos u dhacay ilaa $20,237 habeen hore, waxaana lagu soo warramey $20,568 ilaa waqtigii kama dambaysta ahaa, ku dhawaad ​​24 kororka saacaddii wuxuu ahaa 0.52%;ether (ETH)wuxuu ahaa $1,580, oo kordhay 1.56% 24-kii saac ee la soo dhaafay.

Fed wuxuu ku dhawaaqi doonaa go'aanka heerka ribada 2:00 subaxnimo wakhtiga Beijing ee 3rd.Marka loo eego xogta laga helay Qalabka Daawashada Fed ee Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME), suuqyadu hadda waxay filayaan in Fed uu go'aansan doono inuu kor u qaado heerka dulsaarka 3 yard ilaa 3.75% usbuucan.Waxaa jira 87.2% fursad ah 4.00% sare u kac ah iyo 12.8% fursada 2-yard heerka sare u kaca ilaa 3.50% ilaa 3.75%.

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Xog kale oo mudan in fiiro gaar ah loo yeesho ayaa ah in Maraykanku uu ku dhawaaqi doono tirada mushaharka aan beeraha ahayn Oktoobar 20:30 wakhtiga Beijing ee 4th.Marka loo eego xogta FXStreet, suuqahaddaayaa lagu qiyaasay in tirada mushaharka aan beeralayda ahayn ay kordhin doonto 200,000, taas oo ka hoosaysa tii hore Heerka shaqo la'aanta ayaa la filayaa inuu kor u kaco ilaa 3.6% laga bilaabo 3.5%.

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Kaydka Mareykanka ayaa laga yaabaa inuu aad u kaco haddii heerka ribada uu kor u kaco 2 yard

Isla mar ahaantaana, sida laga soo xigtay "Bloomberg", waaxda ganacsiga ee JPMorgan ayaa saadaalisay in haddii Fed uu go'aansado inuu kor u qaado dulsaarka dulsaarka 2 kaliya toddobaadkan, Guddoomiyaha Kaydka Federaalka Jerome Powell (Jerome Powell) ayaa muujiyay rabitaankiisa ah inuu u dulqaato wararka ka dambeeya kulanka. shirka.Sicir bararka sareeyo iyo suuqa shaqada oo cidhiidhi ah, S&P 500 waxa laga yaabaa inay kor u kacdo ugu yaraan 10% hal maalin gudaheed.

Kooxda JPMorgan Chase, oo uu ku jiro falanqeeye Andrew Tyler, ayaa si bareer ah u sheegay qoraalka macmiilka Isniintii in xaaladdan oo kale ay noqon doonto "ugu yaraan" laakiin waxay noqon doontaa natiijada "ka ugu weyn" ee maalgashadayaasha saamiyada.Lixdii maalmood ee go'aanka Fed ee hore, S&P 500 waxay kor u kacday afar jeer waxayna hoos u dhacday laba jeer.

JPMorgan waxay rajaynaysaa in Fed uu wali sare u qaadi doono 3 yard oo kale usbuucan, iyadoo la raacayo saadaasha dhexe ee dhaqaalayahanada ee Bloomberg, iyo kooxda Andrew Tyler waxay u arkaan fursad hoose oo xaalado kale ah.

Marka la eego saadaasha S & P 500, warbixintu waxay qortay: Natiijooyinka waxaa loo leexiyay dhinaca sare, maadaama aan aaminsanahay in suuqu uu leeyahay sabab wanaagsan oo lagu tijaabiyo hoos u dhaca usbuucii hore sababtoo ah dakhliga niyad jabka ah ee kaydka tiknoolajiyada waaweyn, laakiin wuxuu sii wadaa inuu kordho.Ujeedada sheekadu waa, iskudayga in la aqoonsado kuwa wax iibinaya ee kordhinaya, waxaana aaminsanahay in khatarta/abaalmarinta ay u janjeerto dhanka sare.

Waa kuwan saadaasha kooxda JPMorgan Chase ee jihada macquulka ah ee S&P 500 maalinta go'aanka Fed:

● Kor u kaca heerka 2-yard iyo shirka jaraa'id ee dovish ka dib: S&P 500 ilaa 10%-12%

● Kor u kaca heerka 2-yard iyo shirka jaraa'id ee ka dambeeya hawk: S&P 500 ilaa 4% ilaa 5%

● Kor u kaca heerka 3-yard iyo shirka jaraa'id ee ka dambeeya dovish (labaad waxay u badan tahay): S&P 500 kor u kaca 2.5%-3%

● Kor u kaca heerka 3-yard iyo shirka jaraa'id ee ka dambeeya hawkish (waxay u badan tahay): S&P 500 ayaa hoos u dhacay 1% si ay u helaan 0.5%

● Kor u kaca heerka 4-yard iyo shirka jaraa'id ee ka dambeeya dovish: S&P 500 hoos 4% ilaa 5%

● Kor u kaca heerka 4-yard iyo shirka jaraa'id ee ka dambeeya hawk: S&P 500 hoos 6% ilaa 8%


Waqtiga boostada: Nov-11-2022